DIVING FOR
DIVIDENDS
05/02
Should stock dividends be in your investment future? With
market observers questioning whether stocks will return any
time soon to the double-digit growth they experienced during
the 1990s, and with questions raised about the accuracy of
corporate earnings in the wake of Enron and Global Crossing,
some investment experts say dividends are worth a closer
look.
During the booming market of the 1990s, many investors
scoffed at dividends "quarterly cash payouts to shareholders
from corporate earnings" because they were far more
interested in stocks with the potential for big price
appreciation. Ten years ago, the average dividend yield (the
annual dividend divided by the current market price) for the
S&P 500* Index was 3.3 percent. Today it stands
around 1.3 percent.
Numerous companies, including large ones such as
Microsoft and Cisco, don't pay dividends at all. In the mid
1970s, one-third of the companies that went public paid a
dividend, according to finance professors Eugene Fama and
Kenneth French. By 1999, only 3.7 percent of the new
publicly traded companies paid a dividend.
Taxes figured into the appeal of growth companies, as
well. That's because dividends are taxed twice, first at the
corporate level and then at the investor's level, and
they're taxed at the investor's ordinary tax rate. On the
other hand, capital gains from price appreciation are taxed
only at the investor's level, and then generally at a rate
lower than the ordinary rate. The clamor for appreciation by
investors grew so strong during the 1990s that corporations
minimized or ignored dividends and plowed profits back into
their companies with the idea of more than making up the
forgone dividends through price gains.
Despite the declining dividend yield, stock dividends
have remained a significant, if overlooked, component of
overall stock returns. For example, the 10.7 percent average
annual return of the S&P 500 since 1926 would have
dropped to 6.3 percent without reinvested dividends,
according to the Leuthold Group. Even in the low-dividend
1990s, reinvested dividends accounted for 3.1 percent of the
16.9 percent average annual gain, according to The Vanguard
Group.
Furthermore, one of the advantages of dividend-paying
stocks, say some experts, is that they cushion the blow of
declining stock prices better than companies that don't pay
dividends. Remember, to pay out dividends, a company must
have earned a profit. In fact, a study by Standard &
Poor's found that 47 stocks that consistently increased
dividends in the last decade outperformed the S&P 500
Index.
So back to the opening question: should dividends be in your future?
Who should consider dividend stocks, and what should they look for when
buying them?
Dividends have traditionally appealed to two types of
investors regardless of how stocks are doing overall: older
investors looking for cash income, and more conservative
investors who'd rather receive cash in hand than count on
gains that might evaporate in a bad market.
Now even some growth-oriented investors have grown
skittish in the wake of the down market, and are asking
non-dividend-paying companies such as cash-loaded Microsoft
to start paying dividends.
If the idea of dividends appeals to you, keep some of
these points in mind when choosing stocks:
- Pick a stock because it represents a good company
with a good opportunity to grow in price, not just
because it pays a dividend.
- You can postpone paying taxes on dividends if you hold the stocks
in a tax-favored retirement account or IRA.
- Consider interest-paying alternatives such as money
markets, certificates of deposit and bonds if you're
looking strictly for income, not growth. Many dividend
yields currently beat money market and CD returns, but
that's not always the case.
- Unusually high dividend yields may be a sign of a
company in trouble, say experts. Dividend yield will
rise, for example, if the stock price falls while the
dividend payout remains the same.
- Because the market is down, some companies are
offering dividends as a way to attract investors. Again,
it may be a sign of a company in trouble.
- Generous dividends aren't guaranteed. Numerous
companies have drastically cut their dividends as their
cash flow tightens in this down economy.
- Studies show that high-dividend stocks tend to lag
behind low-dividend stocks when the market takes
off.
* The S&P 500 is an unmanaged stock index.
S&P 500 is a Registered Trademark of Standard &
Poor's Corporation. Investors cannot invest directly in the
S&P 500. Past Performance is not indicative of future
results.
This article was produced by the Consumer Affairs Dept.
of The Financial Planning Association and provided to you
courtesy of Nigel B. Taylor, CFP, Santa Monica, California.
If you have any questions or concerns regarding this, or any
other financial topic and are a resident of Southern
California, please call me at 1-800-444-2237 (California
residents only please), or click on the "MORE INFO" button
to arrange for a free initial consultation in the comfort of
your home or office.
  
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