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ARE YOU DREADING YOUR ANNUAL PORTFOLIO REVIEW?

12/02

For many investors, the thought of reviewing the performance of their portfolio over the past year is about as appealing as having to go down to the basement to investigate the source of that foul smell: you know you need to do it, but you dread what you'll find.

Still, it's vital for your overall financial health to periodically review your portfolio, either on your own or with your financial planner (whose review usually covers many aspects of your personal finances, not just your portfolio). Besides, it may prove not to be as foul as you fear, especially if you keep the following points in mind.

Review it the context of your overall finances. A portfolio is only one aspect of your overall finances. It should not be designed to beat the market, but to achieve your personal financial goals, which can mean quite different investment strategies. Consequently, if you make investment adjustments, do so because either your goals or financial circumstances have changed, not because the market winds are blowing one way or the other.

Your portfolio is not an index. The Dow, the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 indexes* have all suffered double-digit declines through the first three quarters of 2002, this on top of two previous down years. (Source:Dow Jones - NASDAQ & Standard & Poors) But that doesn't necessarily mean your portfolio is down by double-digit numbers. You probably have investments that aren't the large-cap and high-tech stocks reflected by these indexes. Many portfolios include bonds, which have provided strong positive returns through this period, and cash equivalents, which have produced small positive returns during a low-inflation period. Some investors hold real estate, which also has had strong positive returns. So unless you've invested only in large-cap and high-tech stocks, you undoubtedly have winners to help offset the losers.

Diversification still works. By its very design, a properly diversified portfolio will have winners and losers. That's because the performance of a particular type of asset typically doesn't correlate with the performance of other assets for any given market and economic condition.

At a recent financial planning conference, well-known investment expert Roger Gibson illustrated this principle with an update of his famous charts showing the performance of combinations of four equity categories: the S&P 500**, international stocks, commodities and real estate. Despite the current bear market, the results reconfirmed what Gibson has long asserted: the combinations of two or more of the investment categories outperform, over the long run, the performance of any single category, while at the same time reducing portfolio volatility.

Be consistent in how you use benchmarks. As noted before, investors often inappropriately judge their entire portfolio against a single-asset-category index such as the S&P 500. Furthermore, many investors not only complained when their portfolio underperformed the market during the boom years, they remain dissatisfied in the down market even though their portfolio has not lost as much as the market. Yet one objective of a well-diversified portfolio is to minimize the ups and downs.

Focus on the whole, not just the bad parts. Part of the anxiety of so many investors stems from focusing on the down numbers they see in their individual monthly brokerage or investment statements. Again, don't focus on the parts; focus on the entire portfolio during your annual review.

Focus on the long term. The current bear market, now nearly three years old, has been a deeper and longer bear market than most. Yet you should be investing for goals that are 10, 20, 30 years away, enough time to recover from this decline and gain from the next bull market.

Rebalance if necessary. One key purpose of a portfolio performance review is to see whether you need to rebalance your assets so that they match your intended asset allocation. Say that, hypothetically, for the last several years you've used an asset allocation of 65 percent stocks, 25 percent bonds and 10 percent cash, and that for your long-term goals and risk tolerance that allocation is still appropriate.*** Yet in the current market, stocks may make up significantly less than 65 percent and bonds considerably more. You'll want to bring those allocations back into line either by selling some bonds and buying stocks, or buying only stocks with fresh dollars you invest.

This article was produced by the Consumer Affairs Dept. of The Financial Planning Association and provided to you courtesy of Taylor & Associates, Santa Monica, California. If you have any questions or concerns regarding this, or any other financial topic and are a resident of California or Nevada, please call 1-800-444-2237, or click on the "Contact Us" button to arrange for a initial consultation in the comfort of your home or office.

* An index is a hypothetical portfolio of specific securities (Common examples are the Dow Jones industrial and the S&P 500) The performance of which is often used as a benchmark in judging the relative performance of certain asset classes. Indexes are unmanaged portfolios and should only be compared with securities with similar investment characteristics and criteria. Investors cannot invest directly in an index. Past Performance is not indicative of future results.

** The S&P 500 is an unmanaged stock index. S&P 500 is a registered trademark of Standard & Poor's Corp. Investors cannot invest directly in the S&P 500 and past performance is not indicative of future results.

*** The asset allocation mix discussed is hypothetical and for illustration purposes only. It should not be construed a recommendation and may not be appropriate for you. Speak with a qualified investment professional before considering any investment. You should be aware that no investment plan/asset allocation can eliminate the risk of fluctuating prices and uncertain returns. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

 

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Nigel B. Taylor, CFP¨ is a Registered Representative of and offers securities products & services through Royal Alliance Associates, Inc. Member NASD/SIPC, a registered Broker-Dealer. This communication is strictly intended for individuals residing in the states of California & Nevada. No offers may be made or accepted from any resident outside the specific state(s) referenced. Taylor & Associates, CyFi Solutions, Quotestream & Royal Alliance Associates, Inc. are separate and unrelated companies.

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